Ole Miss Rebels
While it’s been a strong campaign for Beard and company, the Rebels are finally crashing back down to Earth.
They’ve dropped their last two contests, and there’s more negative regression looming, especially on offense.
The Rebels are nearly double-digit ‘dogs in this matchup against a horrific Cats defense, but there’s no reason to consider backing them.
First of all, they’re 31st in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, which is most certainly inflated. Anybody can score on the Cats’ defense lately, but the Rebels’ offense is not built to keep up in a track meet.
They’re shooting 39% from 3-point land, but are 283rd in 3-point attempts per contest.
Starters Jaylen Murray, Matthew Murrell and Jaemyn Brakefield are all shooting above 35% from deep. They’ll hit a few 3s, but there’s legitimate concern that the Rebels will get ice cold during this game.
They struggle to rebound the basketball, but luckily, the Cats have been a horrific defensive rebounding team. It was a tough watch this past Saturday against Gonzaga, as they were out-rebounded 43-31.
Defensively, the Rebels are in trouble. The Cats are the best 3-point shooting team in the nation, and the Rebels have struggled to defend the perimeter lately.